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数据分析与知识发现  2017, Vol. 1 Issue (1): 55-63     https://doi.org/10.11925/infotech.2096-3467.2017.01.07
  研究论文 本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
基于专利的技术熵分析法及其在新兴技术监测中的应用研究*——以碳捕集技术为例
侯剑华(), 郭爽
大连大学科学技术与社会研究中心 大连 116622
Analyzing Emerging Issues with Technology Entropy Method Based on Patents: Case Study of Carbon Capture
Hou Jianhua(), Guo Shuang
Research Center of Science Technology and Society, Dalian University, Dalian 116622, China
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摘要 

目的】基于技术系统特性, 提出技术熵分析方法。通过专利文献数据, 对新兴技术的发展演化进行动态、有效的监测, 验证技术熵分析方法的效度。【方法】在基于专利的技术系统中构建多维度技术熵专利模型。以碳捕集技术为例, 从宏观和微观两个层面进行技术监测和评价分析。【结果】证实了技术熵分析方法的有效性。我国碳捕集技术经历了技术萌芽、低速发展、高速跃升等阶段, 虽尚未成熟, 但已经进入至关重要的发展阶段; 技术研发以高校为主, 研究大多集中于吸收和吸附材料等。【局限】样本数据的选择有待改进, 存在干扰数据。【结论】技术熵方法是从技术系统的视角分析技术领域的演化趋势的一种科学有效的分析方法, 为技术演化、技术评价、技术预见等问题及相关技术管理问题提供了一种可行的分析工具。

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侯剑华
郭爽
关键词 技术熵专利模型技术监测碳捕集技术    
Abstract

[Objective]This paper proposes a patent-based technology entropy analysis method, aiming to effectively monitor the development of emerging issues from the patent data. [Methods] First, we built a multi-dimensional technology entropy model for the patent-based system. Second, we analyzed the carbon capture technology from the macro and micro perspectives. [Results] We found that the technology of carbon capture in China was at the crucial development stage. Most of the studies were conducted by universities, which focused on materials with absorption and adsorption abilities. [Limitations] The data collection method needed to be modified to remove the irrelevant ones. [Conclusions] Technology entropy method could effectively analyze the evolution trends of technologies. It provides a feasible tool for us to manage and evaluate the evolution and prediction of new technologies.

Key wordsTechnology Entropy    Patent-based Models    Technology Monitoring    Carbon Capture
收稿日期: 2016-05-29      出版日期: 2017-02-22
ZTFLH:  G350  
基金资助:*本文系教育部人文社会科学研究项目“基于专利的新兴技术涌现机理与过程模型研究”(项目编号: 15YJC630033)的研究成果之一
引用本文:   
侯剑华, 郭爽. 基于专利的技术熵分析法及其在新兴技术监测中的应用研究*——以碳捕集技术为例[J]. 数据分析与知识发现, 2017, 1(1): 55-63.
Hou Jianhua,Guo Shuang. Analyzing Emerging Issues with Technology Entropy Method Based on Patents: Case Study of Carbon Capture. Data Analysis and Knowledge Discovery, 2017, 1(1): 55-63.
链接本文:  
https://manu44.magtech.com.cn/Jwk_infotech_wk3/CN/10.11925/infotech.2096-3467.2017.01.07      或      https://manu44.magtech.com.cn/Jwk_infotech_wk3/CN/Y2017/V1/I1/55
  历年碳捕集相关专利申请量及公开量
  研究密集程度T0
  一维碳捕集技术熵走势
  研究密集程度T0
  二维碳捕集技术熵发展态势
  碳捕集技术的h值走势
  不同动态条件下的dS走势
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[1] 侯剑华,刘盼. 专利技术系统演化的技术熵测度模型与实证研究 *[J]. 数据分析与知识发现, 2019, 3(8): 21-29.
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