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一种技术演化路径识别方法:集成图嵌入和路径分析
翟东升,翟亮,梁国强,赵凯
(北京工业大学经济与管理学院 北京  100124)
An Approach to Identify Technological Evolution Paths: Integrate Graph Embedding and Path Analysis
Zhai Dongsheng,Zhai Liang,Liang Guoqiang,Zhao Kai
Graph Embedding Model; Multi-Dimensional Semantic Vector; Community Division; Extension Method; Technology Convergence Point
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摘要 

[目的]为充分挖掘特定领域的关键技术及分支,全面揭示其技术演化轨迹,提出一种集成图嵌入和路径分析的技术演化路径识别方法。[方法]开发无监督图嵌入模型,将专利结构关系、文本及节点信息传递、聚合的知识等特征,融合为多维语义向量,用于拓展技术路径的同时提升社区划分效果;从网络拓扑和语义关联视角,提出主路径及衍生路径的拓展方法,并构建技术衔接点测度指标,识别路径上具有发展潜力技术领域。[结果]在无人机飞行控制系统技术的实证中,识别出四个子领域的技术演化路径及分支,并发现该领域中模式识别技术、多处理器和数据融合技术具备良好的发展前景。[局限]本文暂未将技术演化模式的形成机制因素,纳入到识别框架中。[结论]集成图嵌入和路径分析的方法在路径拓展效果、应用普适性等方面具有一定优势。

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关键词 图嵌入模型多维语义向量网络社区划分拓展方法技术衔接点     
Abstract

[Objective] This study proposes a method for identifying technological evolution paths, enabling comprehensive extraction of key technologies and their branches within a specific domain, thus revealing the trajectory of technology evolution. [Methods] Firstly, we devise a graph embedding model to integrate patent characteristics into multidimensional semantic vectors, employed to the technology paths expansion and improve the effect of community division. Secondly, we propose the expansion method of the main path and its derivative path from the perspective of network topology and semantic correlation, and construct the metric of technology convergence point to identify the promising fields. [Results] Taking UAV flight control system technology as a case study, we identify four sub-fields of technological evolution paths and branches, determining that pattern recognition, multiprocessor and data fusion technologies within this field hold promising prospects. [Limitations] Our method has not incorporate the formation mechanism of the technological evolution pattern into the identification framework. [Conclusions] The proposed method, which integrates graph embedding and path analysis, demonstrates significant advantages in terms of evolutionary path identification effectiveness and broad applicability.

Key words Graph Embedding Model    Multi-Dimensional Semantic Vector    Community Division    Extension Method    Technology Convergence Point
     出版日期: 2024-04-23
ZTFLH:  G353  
  G206  
引用本文:   
翟东升, 翟亮, 梁国强, 赵凯. 一种技术演化路径识别方法:集成图嵌入和路径分析 [J]. 数据分析与知识发现, 10.11925/infotech.2096-3467.2023.1277.
Zhai Dongsheng, Zhai Liang, Liang Guoqiang, Zhao Kai. An Approach to Identify Technological Evolution Paths: Integrate Graph Embedding and Path Analysis . Data Analysis and Knowledge Discovery, 0, (): 1-.
链接本文:  
https://manu44.magtech.com.cn/Jwk_infotech_wk3/CN/10.11925/infotech.2096-3467.2023.1277      或      https://manu44.magtech.com.cn/Jwk_infotech_wk3/CN/Y0/V/I/1
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