网络股评“发布者-关注者”BSI与股票市场关联性研究*
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张宁, 尹乐民, 何立峰
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Impacts of “Poster-Follower” Sentiment on Stock Market Performance
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Zhang Ning,Yin Lemin,He Lifeng
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表8 投资者情绪与关注度交互作用分析(样本数量N=244) |
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变量 | 模型三(因变量为CI) | 模型四(因变量为R) | M1(PBSI1) | M2(PBSI2) | M3(PBSI3) | M4(PBSI4) | M5(PBSI5) | M6(PBSI6) | 系数 (t值) | 系数 (t值) | 系数 (t值) | 系数 (t值) | 系数 (t值) | 系数 (t值) | PBSI1t | 145.850*** (7.315) | | | 5.297*** (7.452) | | | PBSI1(t-1) | -90.081*** (-4.609) | | | -3.211*** (-4.587) | | | PBSI1t×ATTt | 0.059* (2.007) | | | 0.002* (2.188) | | | PBSI1(t-1)×ATTt-1 | -0.004 (-0.131) | | | 0.000 (0.084) | | | PBSI2t | | 30.313*** (6.683) | | | 1.107*** (6.771) | | PBSI2(t-1) | | -20.523*** (-4.596) | | | -0.732*** (-4.523) | | PBSI2t×ATTt | | 0.016* (2.419) | | | 0.001** (2.584) | | PBSI2(t-1)×ATTt-1 | | -0.001 (-0.188) | | | 0.000 (0.074) | | PBSI3t | | | 71.315*** (7.182) | | | 2.633*** (7.383) | PBSI3(t-1) | | | -47.989*** (-4.932) | | | -1.697*** (-4.821) | PBSI3t×ATTt | | | 0.032* (2.204) | | | 0.001* (2.293) | PBSI3(t-1)×ATTt-1 | | | 0.000 (0.032) | | | 0.000 (0.253) | ATTt-1 | -0.007 (-0.364) | -0.010? (-1.653) | -0.011? (-1.756) | -0.000 (-0.136) | -0.000 (-0.335) | -0.000 (-0.414) | ATTt | -0.031? (-1.683) | -0.007 (-1.102) | -0.005 (-0.771) | -0.001 (-1.511) | 0.000 (0.048) | 0.000 (0.425) | TR | 21.023*** (4.926) | 21.168*** (4.932) | 21.322*** (5.062) | 0.376* (2.609) | 0.353* (2.408) | 0.363* (2.534) | FR | -14.154*** (-6.931) | -13.471*** (-6.478) | -13.351*** (-6.515) | -0.316*** (-4.523) | -0.294*** (-4.035) | -0.293*** (-4.076) | CIt-1 | 0.907*** (57.510) | 0.897*** (56.140) | 0.899*** (56.860) | | | | 常数项 | 223.208*** (4.454) | 282.514*** (5.920) | 275.968*** (5.836) | -1.789** (-2.867) | -0.614* (-2.151) | -0.690* (-2.442) | F | 2.017? | 2.927? | 2.436? | 2.408? | 3.371* | 2.689? | R2 | 0.960 | 0.959 | 0.960 | 0.496 | 0.486 | 0.500 |
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