网络股评“发布者-关注者”BSI与股票市场关联性研究*
张宁, 尹乐民, 何立峰

Impacts of “Poster-Follower” Sentiment on Stock Market Performance
Zhang Ning,Yin Lemin,He Lifeng
表8 投资者情绪与关注度交互作用分析(样本数量N=244)
变量 模型三(因变量为CI) 模型四(因变量为R)
M1(PBSI1) M2(PBSI2) M3(PBSI3) M4(PBSI4) M5(PBSI5) M6(PBSI6)
系数
(t值)
系数
(t值)
系数
(t值)
系数
(t值)
系数
(t值)
系数
(t值)
PBSI1t 145.850***
(7.315)
5.297***
(7.452)
PBSI1(t-1) -90.081***
(-4.609)
-3.211***
(-4.587)
PBSI1t×ATTt 0.059*
(2.007)
0.002*
(2.188)
PBSI1(t-1)×ATTt-1 -0.004
(-0.131)
0.000
(0.084)
PBSI2t 30.313***
(6.683)
1.107***
(6.771)
PBSI2(t-1) -20.523***
(-4.596)
-0.732***
(-4.523)
PBSI2t×ATTt 0.016*
(2.419)
0.001**
(2.584)
PBSI2(t-1)×ATTt-1 -0.001
(-0.188)
0.000
(0.074)
PBSI3t 71.315***
(7.182)
2.633***
(7.383)
PBSI3(t-1) -47.989***
(-4.932)
-1.697***
(-4.821)
PBSI3t×ATTt 0.032*
(2.204)
0.001*
(2.293)
PBSI3(t-1)×ATTt-1 0.000
(0.032)
0.000
(0.253)
ATTt-1 -0.007
(-0.364)
-0.010?
(-1.653)
-0.011?
(-1.756)
-0.000
(-0.136)
-0.000
(-0.335)
-0.000
(-0.414)
ATTt -0.031?
(-1.683)
-0.007
(-1.102)
-0.005
(-0.771)
-0.001
(-1.511)
0.000
(0.048)
0.000
(0.425)
TR 21.023***
(4.926)
21.168***
(4.932)
21.322***
(5.062)
0.376*
(2.609)
0.353*
(2.408)
0.363*
(2.534)
FR -14.154***
(-6.931)
-13.471***
(-6.478)
-13.351***
(-6.515)
-0.316***
(-4.523)
-0.294***
(-4.035)
-0.293***
(-4.076)
CIt-1 0.907***
(57.510)
0.897***
(56.140)
0.899***
(56.860)
常数项 223.208***
(4.454)
282.514***
(5.920)
275.968***
(5.836)
-1.789**
(-2.867)
-0.614*
(-2.151)
-0.690*
(-2.442)
F 2.017? 2.927? 2.436? 2.408? 3.371* 2.689?
R2 0.960 0.959 0.960 0.496 0.486 0.500