Please wait a minute...
Advanced Search
数据分析与知识发现  2019, Vol. 3 Issue (6): 42-49     https://doi.org/10.11925/infotech.2096-3467.2018.0995
  研究论文 本期目录 | 过刊浏览 | 高级检索 |
电子折扣券弹性与经济效益的关系研究 ——一个基于电商平台大数据的混合模型
董晓舟1(),陈信康2
1(上海立信会计金融学院工商管理学院 上海 201209)
2(上海财经大学国际工商管理学院 上海 200433)
E-Coupon and Economic Performance of E-commerce
Xiaozhou Dong1(),Xinkang Chen2
1(School of Business Administration, Shanghai Lixin University of Accounting and Finance, Shanghai 201209, China)
2(School of International Business Administration, Shanghai University of Finance & Economics, Shanghai 200433, China)
全文: PDF (562 KB)   HTML ( 14
输出: BibTeX | EndNote (RIS)      
摘要 

目的】通过一个异质性混合模型, 根据消费者的电子折扣券弹性对消费者进行分类。【方法】利用国内一家大型线上零售企业22 234名会员的消费大数据与异质性混合模型构建一个基于电子折扣券弹性的混合模型, 并采用极大似然估计获得模型参数。【结果】实验结果表明相较控制对照组, 模型指导的策略组的电子折扣券使用率(兑现率)提升18.6%, 人均消费金额提升43元, 总体边际贡献提升35.9万元。【局限】会员归属某个潜在类别的概率函数之中只加入了会员等级这一个解释变量。【结论】该模型可以指导企业优化其折扣券等营促销工具的实施效果, 提升折扣券的兑现率与销售收入和毛利。

服务
把本文推荐给朋友
加入引用管理器
E-mail Alert
RSS
作者相关文章
董晓舟
陈信康
关键词 电子折扣券经济效益混合模型大数据分析    
Abstract

[Objective] This paper tries to categorize consumers based on the elasticity of their electronic discount vouchers with a heterogeneous mixture model. [Methods] We built the proposed model with heterogeneous mixture model and 22,234 members’ shopping data at a large online retail portal in China. We obtained the model parameters from the maximum likelihood estimation. [Results] Compared with the controlled group, the treatment group’s usage of electronic vouchers increased by 18.6%, their average amount of spending added 43 yuan, and the overall contribution margin raised by 359 thousand yuan. [Limitations] We only adopted one explanatory variable (membership levels) to the probability function. [Conclusions] The proposed model could help companies optimize the effects of their promotions, and increase the usage of vouchers, sales and gross profits.

Key wordsElectronic Coupon    Economic Performance    Mixture Model    Big Data Analysis
收稿日期: 2018-09-07      出版日期: 2019-08-15
引用本文:   
董晓舟,陈信康. 电子折扣券弹性与经济效益的关系研究 ——一个基于电商平台大数据的混合模型[J]. 数据分析与知识发现, 2019, 3(6): 42-49.
Xiaozhou Dong,Xinkang Chen. E-Coupon and Economic Performance of E-commerce. Data Analysis and Knowledge Discovery, 2019, 3(6): 42-49.
链接本文:  
https://manu44.magtech.com.cn/Jwk_infotech_wk3/CN/10.11925/infotech.2096-3467.2018.0995      或      https://manu44.magtech.com.cn/Jwk_infotech_wk3/CN/Y2019/V3/I6/42
[1] 张喆, 房茜蓉, 韩斌. 产品优惠券价值的框架效应研究[J]. 管理科学, 2011, 24(1): 47-55.
[1] (Zhang Zhe, Fang Qianrong, Han Bin.Framing Effect of Coupon Value for Product[J]. Journal of Management Science, 2011, 24(1): 47-55.)
[2] 赵学锋, 汤庆, 刘芬. 基于电子口碑营销的移动优惠券转发模式研究[J]. 管理学, 2013, 10(11): 1657-1662.
[2] (Zhao Xuefeng, Tang Qing, Liu Fen.Mobile Coupon Forwarding Mode Based on Electronic Word of Mouth[J]. Chinese Journal of Management, 2013, 10(11): 1657-1662.)
[3] Tauber E M.Why do People Shop?[J]. Journal of Marketing, 1995, 4(2): 58.
[4] Holbrook M B, Hirschman E C.The Experiential Aspects of Consumption: Consumer Fantasies, Feelings, and Fun[J]. Journal of Consumer Research, 1982, 9(2): 132-140.
[5] 董晓舟. 平台型购物网站的网络顾客忠诚研究——基于关系质量与网站依恋的双中介路径[J]. 营销科学学报, 2015, 11(4): 104-128.
[5] (Dong Xiaozhou.Study on the E-loyalty of Online Shopping Platform——Based on the Mediating Roles of Relationship Quality and Website Attachment[J]. Journal of Marketing Science, 2015, 11(4): 104-128.)
[6] 刘芬, 赵学锋, 张金隆, 等. 移动优惠券的消费者使用意愿研究: 基于个人特征和动机的视角[J]. 管理评论, 2016, 28(2): 93-102.
[6] (Liu Fen, Zhao Xuefeng, Zhang Jinlong, et al.Study on Consumer Usage Intention of Mobile Coupons: From the Perspective of Personal Characteristics and Motivations[J]. Management Review, 2016, 28(2): 93-102.)
[7] Banerjee S, Yancey S.Enhancing Mobile Coupon Redemption in Fast Food Campaigns[J]. Journal of Research in Interactive Marketing, 2010, 4(2): 97-110.
[8] 卢长宝, 陈兰兰. 营销理念的新突破: 电子优惠券形式创新的内在动因及理论模型[J]. 天津商业大学学报, 2015, 35(4): 23-30.
[8] (Lu Changbao, Chen Lanlan.A New Breakthrough in Marketing Ideas: The Intrinsic Causation and Theoretical Model of Formal Innovation in E-coupon[J]. Journal of Tianjin University of Commerce, 2015, 35(4): 23-30.)
[9] Song J, Koo C, Kim Y.Investigating Antecedents of Behavioral Intentions in Mobile Commerce[J]. Journal of Internet Commerce, 2008, 6(1): 13-34.
[10] 杨水清, 鲁耀斌, 曹玉枝. 基于跨渠道的消费者移动支付采纳研究[J]. 科研管理, 2011, 32(10): 79-88.
[10] (Yang Shuiqing, Lu Yaobin, Cao Yuzhi.Mobile Payment Services Adoption: From the Cross-Environment Perspective[J]. Science Research Management, 2011, 32(10): 79-88.)
[11] 张建同, 方陈承. 顾客历史行为和优惠券对其购买决定的影响——基于一项实验研究[J]. 软科学, 2017, 31(2): 109-112.
[11] (Zhang Jiantong, Fang Chencheng.The Effects of Historic Behaviors and E-coupon Promotion on Consumer Purchase Decision——Based on an Experimental Study[J]. Soft Science, 2017, 31(2): 109-112.)
[12] Dhar S K, Morrison D G, Raju J S.The Effect of Package Coupons on Brand Choice: An Epilogue on Profits[J]. Marketing Science, 1996, 15(2): 192-203.
[13] Musalem A, Bradlow E T, Raju J S.Who’s Got the Coupon? Estimating Consumer Preferences and Coupon Usage from Aggregate Information[J]. Journal of Marketing Research, 2008, 45(6): 715-730.
[14] Jiang Y, Shang J, Kemerer C F, et al.Optimizing E-tailer Profits and Customer Savings: Pricing Multistage Customized Online Bundles[J]. Marketing Science, 2011, 30(4): 737-752.
[15] 孙鲁平, 陈宇新. 定量营销研究中的离散选择模型及其研究进展[J]. 营销科学学报, 2015, 11(4): 1-13.
[15] (Sun Luping, Chen Yuxin.Discrete Choice Model and Its Recent Advances in Marketing Science Research[J]. Journal of Marketing Science, 2015, 11(4): 1-13.)
[16] Kamakura W A, Russell G.A Probabilistic Choice Model for Market Segmentation and Elasticity Structure[J]. Journal of Marketing Research, 1989, 26(4): 379-390.
[17] Gupta S, Chintagunta P K.On Using Demographic Variables to Determine Segment Membership in Logit Mixture Models[J]. Journal of Marketing Research, 1994, 31(1): 128-136.
[18] Kamakura W A, Kim B D, Lee J.Modeling Preference and Structural Heterogeneity in Consumer Choice[J]. Marketing Science, 1996, 12(5): 152-172.
[19] Roy R, Chintagunta P K, Haldar S.A Framework for Investigating Habits, “The Hand of the Past,” and Heterogeneity in Dynamic Brand Choice[J]. Marketing Science, 1996, 15(3): 280-299.
[20] Lim J, Currim I S, Andrews R L.Consumer Heterogeneity in the Longer-term Effects of Price Promotions[J]. International Journal of Research in Marketing, 2005, 22(4): 441-457.
[21] Bawa K, Srinivasan S S, Srivastava R K.Coupon Attractiveness and Coupon Proneness: A Framework for Modeling Coupon Redemption[J]. Journal of Marketing Research, 1997, 34(4): 517-525.
[22] Heilman C M, Nakamoto K, Rao A G.Pleasant Surprises: Consumer Response to Unexpected In-Store Coupons[J]. Journal of Marketing Research, 2002, 39(2): 242-252.
[23] Lu Q, Moorthy S.Coupons Versus Rebates[J]. Marketing Science, 2007, 26(1): 67-82.
[24] 汪明远, 赵学锋. 消费者调节定向和从众行为对移动优惠券使用意愿的影响研究[J]. 管理学报, 2015, 12(7): 1045-1050.
[24] (Wang Mingyuan, Zhao Xuefeng.A Study on the Impact of Consumers’ Regulatory Focus and Imitating Others Behavior on the Usage Intention of Mobile Coupons[J]. Chinese Journal of Management, 2015, 12(7): 1045-1050.)
[25] Ehrenberg A S C. The Pattern of Consumer Purchases[J]. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, 1959, 8(1): 26-41.
[26] Colombo R, Jiang W.A Stochastic RFM Model[J]. Journal of Interactive Marketing, 1999, 13(3): 2-12.
[27] 王海伟, 谢禹, 王雅林. 客户购买行为的双变量多层贝叶斯预测模型研究[J]. 哈尔滨工程大学学报, 2007, 28(8): 949-954.
[27] (Wang Haiwei, Xie Yu, Wang Yalin.A Bivariate Hierarchical Bayesian Approach to Predicting Customer Purchase Behavior[J]. Journal of Harbin Engineering University, 2007, 28(8): 949-954.)
[28] Neslin S A.A Market Response Model for Coupon Promotions[J]. Marketing Science, 1990, 9(2): 125-145.
[29] 董晓舟, 陈信康. 企业视角的顾客价值度量与细分——基于顾客未来货币价值与非货币价值的实证研究[J]. 财贸研究, 2017(3): 85-94.
[29] (Dong Xiaozhou, Chen Xinkang.Enterprise Perspective’s Customer Value Measurement and Segmentation: On Customer’s Future Monetary Value and Nonmonetary Value[J]. Finance and Trade Research, 2017(3): 85-94.)
No related articles found!
Viewed
Full text


Abstract

Cited

  Shared   
  Discussed   
版权所有 © 2015 《数据分析与知识发现》编辑部
地址:北京市海淀区中关村北四环西路33号 邮编:100190
电话/传真:(010)82626611-6626,82624938
E-mail:jishu@mail.las.ac.cn