[Objective] This paper tries to examine the social evolution analysis and System Dynamics for early warning strategies of undergraduates’ public opinion administration. [Methods] We conducted system analysis for public opinion based on user behavior theory. We analyzed the mechanism among undergraduates, official institutions, Internet environment, public opinion elements and social media with System Dynamics (SD). Finally, we built a new SD model for the early warning system of public opinion. [Results] We evaluated our model with three simulation experiments. The influence range of control elements was verified, while the control effect of credibility was falsified. Compared with other fuzzy cognitive models, our algorithm’s ACR increased by 1.4% and the CPT reduced by 50%. [Limitations] Extracting related factors depends on the research object and environmental evolution, and our model needs to be continuously optimized in the future. [Conclusions] The proposed model creates an early warning mechanism for public opinion from the undergraduate communities.
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Li Chuan, Zhu Xuefang, Fu Ziyuan. Early-warning Model for Undergraduate Public Opinion with Dynamic Evolution. Data Analysis and Knowledge Discovery, 2022, 6(8): 97-109.
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