|
|
Optimizing Anti-terrorist Policing with Queueing Theory |
Liu Zhongyi, Hu Chenwang( ), Tan Kun, Gao Yan |
School of Management, People’s Public Security University of China, Beijing 100038, China |
|
|
Abstract [Objective] This paper optimizes the deployment of anti-terrorist police resources based on the queueing theory, aiming to improve the effectiveness of counterterrorism actions. [Methods] First, we proposed two optimal anti-terrorist policing strategies based on the M/M/1/∞ and M/M/N/∞ queueing models. Then, we compared the performance of the two models with simulation cases on four factors. [Results] We found that the M/M/N/∞ model had better performance. [Limitations] We did not examine the proposed model with real world anti-terrorism and policing data. [Conclusions] The M/M/N/∞ queueing model could help us create better anti-terrorist policing strategies.
|
Received: 15 July 2018
Published: 12 November 2018
|
|
[1] |
宋汀, 曹伟. 2017年上半年国际恐怖主义态势报告[J]. 中国信息安全, 2017(9): 14-17.
|
[1] |
(Song Ting, Cao Wei. International Terrorism Situation Report in the First Half of 2017[J]. China Information Security, 2017(9): 14-17.)
|
[2] |
Schneider F, Brück T, Meierrieks D.The Economics of Counterterrorism: A Survey[J]. Journal of Economic Surveys, 2015, 29(1): 131-157.
doi: 10.1111/joes.12060
|
[3] |
赵炜. 公安机关大部门制改革问题研究[J]. 中国人民公安大学学报: 社会科学版, 2016, 32(6): 75-81.
|
[3] |
(Zhao Wei.Study on the Reform of the Large Department System of Public Security Organs[J]. Journal of People’s Public Security University of China: Social Sciences Edition, 2016, 32(6): 75-81.)
|
[4] |
刘枧, 张怀学, 王祥珍. 公安机关大部门大警种制改革研究——以贵州试点为例[J]. 中国人民公安大学学报: 社会科学版, 2018, 34(2): 12-20.
|
[4] |
(Liu Jian, Zhang Huaixue, Wang Xiangzhen.A Study on the Reform of Public Security Organs’ Large Scale Police System——Taking Guizhou Pilot as an Example[J]. Journal of People’s Public Security University of China: Social Sciences Edition, 2018, 34(2): 12-20.)
|
[5] |
解源源, 史全增. 基层公安机关警力不足的类型化分析及改革路径[J]. 中国人民公安大学学报: 社会科学版, 2014, 30(4): 37-43.
|
[5] |
(Xie Yuanyuan, Shi Quanzeng.The Type Analysis and Reform Path of Inadequate Police Force in the Grass-roots Public Security Organs[J]. Journal of People’s Public Security University of China: Social Sciences Edition, 2014, 30(4): 37-43.)
|
[6] |
王大中. 流动人口与警力配置[J]. 中国人民公安大学学报: 社会科学版, 2003, 19(4): 56-61.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-2140.2003.04.013
|
[6] |
(Wang Dazhong.The Issue of Migratory Population and the Distribution of Police Force[J]. Journal of People’s Public Security University of China: Social Sciences Edition, 2003, 19(4): 56-61.)
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-2140.2003.04.013
|
[7] |
刘忠轶, 解易, 高岩, 等. 基于DEA模型的警力资源配置效率研究[J]. 中国人民公安大学学报: 社会科学版, 2015, 31(6): 58-64.
|
[7] |
(Liu Zhongyi, Xie Yi, Gao Yan, et al.Research on Police Resource Allocation Efficiency Based on DEA Model[J]. Journal of People’s Public Security University of China: Social Sciences Edition, 2015, 31(6): 58-64.)
|
[8] |
王二院. 多元线性回归模型在警力资源配置中的应用[J]. 中国人民公安大学学报: 自然科学版, 2013, 19(1): 44-50.
|
[8] |
(Wang Eryuan.Application of Multiple Linear Regression Model in Police Resources Allocation[J]. Journal of People’s Public Security University of China: Science and Technology, 2013, 19(1): 44-50.)
|
[9] |
李侠, 王二院. 派出所110警情排队模型的构建[J]. 中国人民公安大学学报: 自然科学版, 2013, 19(3): 52-59.
|
[9] |
(Li Xia, Wang Eryuan.Construction of 110 Police Station Queuing Model in Police Station[J]. Journal of People’s Public Security University of China: Science and Technology, 2013, 19(3): 52-59.)
|
[10] |
王大伟. 欧美警察科学原理[M]. 北京: 中国人民公安大学出版社, 2007.
|
[10] |
(Wang Dawei.Principles of Police Science in Europe and America [M]. Beijing: Publishing House of Chinese People’s Public Security University, 2007.)
|
[11] |
Gorkič P.Policing Organised Crime: A Paradox of Transition?[A]// Alenka Šelih, Aleš Završnik. Crime and Transition in Central and Eastern Europe[M]. Springer, 2014: 97-116.
|
[12] |
Charles L E, Burchfiel C M, Fekedulegn D, et al.Shift Work and Sleep: The Buffalo Police Health Study[J]. Policing, 2007, 30(2): 215-227.
doi: 10.1108/13639510710753225
|
[13] |
Kaplan E H, Kress M, Szechtman R.Confronting Entrenched Insurgents[J]. Operations Research, 2010, 58(2): 329-341.
doi: 10.1287/opre.1090.0728
|
[14] |
Mukhopadhyay A, Zhang C, Vorobeychik Y, et al.Optimal Allocation of Police Patrol Resources Using a Continuous-Time Crime Model[A]// Carthy S M M, Sinha A, Tambe M, et al. Data Exfiltration Detection and Prevention: Virtually Distributed POMDPs for Practically Safer Networks[M]. Springer, 2016: 139-158.
|
[15] |
Kennedy L W, Caplan J M, Piza E. Risk Clusters, Hotspots, and Spatial Intelligence: Risk Terrain Modeling as an Algorithm for Police Resource Allocation Strategies[J]. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 2011, 27(3): 339-362.
doi: 10.1007/s10940-010-9126-2
|
[16] |
程元军, 罗利. 基于排队论和整数规划的银行柜员弹性排班模型[J]. 管理学报, 2010, 7(10): 1558-1565.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-884X.2010.10.022
|
[16] |
(Cheng Yuanjun, Luo Li.A Teller Scheduling Model Based on Queuing Theory and Integer Programming[J]. Chinese Journal of Management, 2010, 7(10): 1558-1565.)
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1672-884X.2010.10.022
|
[17] |
蔡文婧, 葛连升. 基于排队论的银行业务窗口设置优化[J]. 山东大学学报: 工学版, 2013, 43(3): 23-29.
|
[17] |
(Cai Wenjing, Ge Liansheng.Optimization of Bank Counter Setting Based on Queuing Theory[J]. Journal of Shandong University: Engineering Science, 2013, 43(3): 23-29.)
|
[18] |
朱明珠, 齐二石, 杨甫勤. 基于开排队网络的医院门诊服务台优化配置[J]. 工业工程与管理, 2016, 21(5): 129-133, 140.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1007-5429.2016.05.020
|
[18] |
(Zhu Mingzhu, Qi Ershi, Yang Fuqin.The Resource Optimization of Service Desks in the Outpatient Based on the Open Queuing Network[J]. Industrial Engineering and Management, 2016, 21(5): 129-133, 140.)
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1007-5429.2016.05.020
|
[19] |
王楠, 武爱文. 运用M/D/1和M/G/1排队模型配置医院门诊收费窗口资源[J]. 中国卫生统计, 2015, 32(4): 680-682.
|
[19] |
(Wang Nan, Wu Aiwen.Applying M/D/1 and M/G/1 Queuing Model to Allocate Resources on Outpatient Billing Service in Hospital[J]. Chinese Journal of Health Statistics, 2015, 32(4): 680-682.)
|
[20] |
黄东宾, 王扬帆. 制造企业成品出入库两级排队协同服务模型[J]. 运筹与管理, 2016, 25(6): 250-257.
doi: 10.12005/orms.2016.0227
|
[20] |
(Huang Dongbin, Wang Yangfan.A Two-Stage Queuing Model for Coordinating the Product Entry-Exit Service of Manufacturers’ Warehouse[J]. Operations Research and Management Science, 2016, 25(6): 250-257.)
doi: 10.12005/orms.2016.0227
|
[21] |
刀荣贵, 吕小波, 王金良, 等. 基于排队论的卷烟生产物流服务台数量优化方法[J]. 烟草科技, 2016, 49(8): 89-93.
doi: 10.16135/j.issn1002-0861.2015.0433
|
[21] |
(Dao Ronggui, Lv Xiaobo, Wang Jinliang, et al.Optimization Method for Number of Logistics Servicer Stations in Cigarette Production Based on Queuing Theory[J]. Tobacco Science and Technology, 2016, 49(8): 89-93.)
doi: 10.16135/j.issn1002-0861.2015.0433
|
[22] |
杨亚东, 刘传波. 基于单重休假规则M/G/1的交汇区域船舶通航能力计算模型[J]. 大连海事大学学报, 2010, 36(3): 17-20, 30.
|
[22] |
(Yang Yadong, Liu Chuanbo.Vessel Transit Capacity of Cross Area Channel Based on Single Vacation M/G/1 Model[J]. Journal of Dalian Maritime University, 2016, 36(3): 17-20, 30.)
|
[23] |
刘敬贤, 韩晓宝, 易湘平. 基于排队论的受限航道通过能力计算[J]. 中国航海, 2008, 31(3): 261-264, 268.
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-4653.2008.03.014
|
[23] |
(Liu Jingxian, Han Xiaobao, Yi Xiangping.Capacity Analysis of Restricted Channels Based on the Queuing Theory[J]. Navigation of China, 2008, 31(3): 261-264, 268.)
doi: 10.3969/j.issn.1000-4653.2008.03.014
|
[24] |
Gao Z Y, Qu Y C, Li X G, et al.Simulating the Dynamic Escape Process in Large Public Places[J]. Operations Research, 2014, 62(6): 1344-1357.
doi: 10.1287/opre.2014.1312
|
[25] |
Kaplan E H.Staffing Models for Covert Counterterrorism Agencies[J]. Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, 2013, 47(1): 2-8.
doi: 10.1016/j.seps.2012.09.006
|
[26] |
Taufemback C, Silva S D.Queuing Theory Applied to the Optimal Management of Bank Excess Reserves[J]. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and Its Applications, 2012, 391(4): 1381-1387.
doi: 10.1016/j.physa.2011.09.022
|
[27] |
孙荣恒, 李建平. 排队论基础[M]. 北京: 科学出版社, 2002.
|
[27] |
(Sun Rongheng, Li Jianping.The Basis of Queuing Theory[M]. Beijing: Science Press, 2002.)
|
|
Viewed |
|
|
|
Full text
|
|
|
|
|
Abstract
|
|
|
|
|
Cited |
|
|
|
|
|
Shared |
|
|
|
|
|
Discussed |
|
|
|
|