This paper introduces the current status of forecast technology in patent analysis system firstly. Then it analyzes the reasons why the Gompertz Curve Model can be used in the patent analysis system and uses two specific examples to validate the Gompertz Curve Model.Finally, it provides the the corresponding patent strategy in different technology life cycle for the user’s reference
唐田田,刘平,张鹏,葛富斌,李明. 冈珀兹曲线模型在专利发展趋势预测中的应用[J]. 现代图书情报技术, 2009, 25(11): 59-63.
Tang Tiantian,Liu Ping,Zhang Peng,Ge Fubin,Li Ming. Application of Gompertz Curve Model in the Patent Trend Forecast. New Technology of Library and Information Service, 2009, 25(11): 59-63.